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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Global COVID-19 Tracker – Aug 14

by Tom Lake

Today's Major COVID-19 Headlines And Latest Data

  • The UK has expanded its list of countries from which travellers will have to quarantine for 14 days on their return, including France and the Netherlands. The move comes as the six locations on the list record spikes in COVID-19 infections in recent days. France has threatened reciprocal measures in response. The move follows the imposition of a quarantine on July 25 on travellers returning from Spain.
  • New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has extended the level three COVID-19 restrictions in the country's largest city, Auckland, for a further 12 days following an expansion in the outbreak cluster recorded on August 12 from 4 cases to 29. The rest of the country remains under level 2 restrictions, which have also been extended. Under the restrictions, all public places in Auckland are closed and people must work from home where possible.
  • The French government has designated the capital Paris and the Bouches-du-Rhone region surrounding the city of Marseilles as 'red zones' due to the spike in new cases in the cities. The designation allows local authorities to impose stricter restrictions on areas such as wearing face masks in open areas, public transport, businesses, and gatherings in an attempt to halt the spread of the virus.
  • Global increase in cases (daily) – Yesterday: 1.4%. Seven-day average: 1.3%
  • Global increase in fatalities (daily) – Yesterday: 0.8%. Seven-day average: 0.8%

MNI SOURCES: Pandemic Response, Not FX Rates ECB Policy Driver – The unpredictability of U.S. presidential election season and the wider priority of battling the pandemic's ongoing economic impact point to the European Central Bank maintaining a watching brief on the euro's rise against generalised dollar weakness, despite the inflation dampening implications for the eurozone, Eurosystem sources have told MNI. On MNI Policy Main Wire and email now - for more details please contact sales@marketnews.com

Chart 1. COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities, Nominal and % Chg Day-to-Day (5dma)

Source: JHU, MNI. As of 0600BST August 14. N.b. Each dot represents a single day's figures, data for past month

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