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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Global COVID-19 Tracker - Oct 26

COVID-19 Trends and Developments

  • The government of Spain has imposed new restrictions on public life in the face of escalating new COVID-19 cases. As of Sunday night, Spain has been under a nighttime curfew, with individuals contained to their homes between 11pm and 6am unless they have a valid reason. Travel between different autonomous communities can also be banned by local authorities. PM Pedro Sanchez is looking for parliamentary approval to have the measures in place for six months.
  • Italy has also come under new stricter lockdown conditions as of Monday, with cinemas, swimming pools, gyms and theatres closed. All table service must halt by 6pm in the evenings in bars, cafes, and restaurants, but other shops will be allowed to remain open. Italy registered 21,273 new cases on October 25, marking the fifth consecutive day of record-high new caseloads.
  • Over the weekend the United States registered its highest ever 24-hour new caseload, with 83,757 new cases added to the total on October 23. This was followed by a 83,718 increase recorded on October 24. AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson have resumed their US trials after approval was given by regulators, but the release of a widely available vaccine by end-2020 remains unlikely. J&J halted its US trial last week after a trialist fell ill, but it was found that the illness was not linked to the vaccine.

Chart 1. COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities, Nominal and % Chg Day-to-Day (5dma)

Source: JHU, MNI. As of 0700BST October 26. N.b. Each dot represents a single day's figures, data for past three months

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