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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Global COVID-19 Tracker - Oct 30

COVID-19 Trends and Developments

  • We have replaced Hong Kong and Singapore with the Netherlands and Switzerland in our table of selected nations and our chartpack. While both Hong Kong and Singapore have recorded new caseloads in the single/low double-digits for some months, both the Netherlands and Switzerland have recorded a rapid spike in cases in recent weeks. Switzerland's average daily increase in cases across the past week stands at 6,861 per day, up from an average of 370 new cases per day over the month of September. In the Netherlands the same metrics show numbers of 9.693 over the past week from 1,673 in September.
  • The United States recorded 88,521 new cases on October 29, the highest 24 hour new caseload of the pandemic so far. A number of mid-Western and Plains states have been hit with high numbers on a per capita basis, while all of Illinois, Indiana, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio and Oregon recorded their highest new caseloads on October 29.
  • France's average number of fatalities from COVID-19 across the past week stood at an average of 260 per day on October 29, the highest seven-day average since May 5. The spike in fatalities comes weeks after a spike in cases that has prompted the government to impose a new month-long nationwide lockdown that came into force at midnight. The lockdown sparked a mass exodus from the capital Paris on Thursday evening as roads became congested with individuals seeking to ride out lockdown in more rural areas. Travel between different regions is prohibited during lockdown except for specific reasons.
Chart 1. COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities, Nominal and % Chg Day-to-Day (5dma)

Source: JHU, MNI. As of 0700BST October 30. N.b. Each dot represents a single day's figures, data for past three months

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