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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - What Putin's Next Moves Could Be

Executive Summary:

  • On 21 February, Russian President Vladimir Putin gave a televised address to the nation before announcing formal recognition of the breakaway republics of Donetsk and Luhansk.
  • The unorthodox address, the most militaristic of Putin’s presidency was divided into three sections. A historical dismissal of the Ukrainian state, an overview of Western/NATO aggression towards Russia, and an allegation of the existential threat to Russian presented by Ukraine.
  • In this article we examine some of the themes of the speech, as well as what indicators it could provide to the Russian president's plans regarding Russian military engagement in the Donbas.
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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – What Putin's Next Moves Could Be.pdf

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