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MNI POLITICAL RISK - JD Vance Edges VP Debate

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Executive summary:

  • The vice-presidential debate took place yesterday evening amid the fallout of Iran’s ballistic missile strike on Israel. Historically, VP debates do little to move the dial on a presidential race, however, with the presidential race on a knife edge, any gains on the margins could prove decisive in November. Prediction markets saw enough in the debate to tighten the race.
  • Senator JD Vance (R-OH) over-performed expectations, but there was no clear-cut winner. He credibly presented a sanitised version of Trumpism and successfully prosecuted a case that Harris is the heir to an unpopular administration, an argument Trump himself was unable to make coherently during the presidential debate.
  • Trump rejected an offer to appear on CBS’ ‘60 Minutes’ for a back-to-back interview with Vice President Harris.
  • The US is bracing for a major escalation in the Middle East following an Iranian ballistic missile barrage on Israel. A string of high-ranking Republican lawmakers issued statements accusing the Biden administration of a soft Iranian policy that failed to prevent the attack. 
  • President Biden urged USMX to make a deal with port workers but stopped short of promising any executive action to resolve the strike.
  • Hurricane Helene could impact voting in North Carolina and Georgia and threaten mines that produce high-purity quartz used in semiconductor and solar panel production.
  • Poll of the Day:Republican Senate candidates are lagging well behind Trump.

Please find the full article attached below: US Daily Brief

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Executive summary:

  • The vice-presidential debate took place yesterday evening amid the fallout of Iran’s ballistic missile strike on Israel. Historically, VP debates do little to move the dial on a presidential race, however, with the presidential race on a knife edge, any gains on the margins could prove decisive in November. Prediction markets saw enough in the debate to tighten the race.
  • Senator JD Vance (R-OH) over-performed expectations, but there was no clear-cut winner. He credibly presented a sanitised version of Trumpism and successfully prosecuted a case that Harris is the heir to an unpopular administration, an argument Trump himself was unable to make coherently during the presidential debate.
  • Trump rejected an offer to appear on CBS’ ‘60 Minutes’ for a back-to-back interview with Vice President Harris.
  • The US is bracing for a major escalation in the Middle East following an Iranian ballistic missile barrage on Israel. A string of high-ranking Republican lawmakers issued statements accusing the Biden administration of a soft Iranian policy that failed to prevent the attack. 
  • President Biden urged USMX to make a deal with port workers but stopped short of promising any executive action to resolve the strike.
  • Hurricane Helene could impact voting in North Carolina and Georgia and threaten mines that produce high-purity quartz used in semiconductor and solar panel production.
  • Poll of the Day:Republican Senate candidates are lagging well behind Trump.

Please find the full article attached below: US Daily Brief