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MNI RBNZ Review - February 2023: OCR Peak Still 5.5% But Softer Tone

RBNZ
  • The RBNZ unanimously agreed to hike rates by 50bp to 4.75% at its February meeting, as was widely expected. The peak in its OCR forecasts was unchanged at 5.50%, implying another 75bp of tightening.
  • The question is whether there will another 50bp increase at the April 5 meeting followed by 25bp in May or three 25bp moves at the next three meetings. Given that Governor Orr said that policy is now restrictive and the Committee has more flexibility, there is a good chance of another step down to 25bp in April.
  • Click to view full review: MNI RBNZ Review - February 2023

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