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Market News Topics
August 04, 2017 09:20 GMT
MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
New Loans TSF
CPI PPI M2 July July
July July End-July CNY Bln CNY Bln
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 1.6 5.6 9.5 800 1075
High 1.7 5.8 10.0 1100 1200
Low 0.9 5.0 9.2 529 650
Mean 1.5 5.5 9.5 795.6 997
No. 19 19 19 19 9
Previous 1.5 5.5 9.4 1540 1780
BAML 1.5 5.4 9.5 780 1050
Bank of China 1.6 5.6 9.6 950 na
Bank of Comm 1.4 5.6 9.7 800 na
CICC 1.5-1.6 5.6 10.0 600-700 1000-1100
CITIC Sec 1.4 5.4 9.6-9.8 600-700 na
Commerzbank 1.6 5.6 9.4 529 na
Guotai Junan Securities 1.6 5.6 9.6 800 1200
Huachuang Sec 1.5 5.7 9.4 800 na
Huarong Sec 1.6 5.6 9.6 800 1200
Huatai Sec 1.6 5.6 9.5 900 1100
Industrial Bank 1.4 5.3 9.3 550 650
ING 1.7 5.0 9.2 1100 na
Merchants Sec 1.5 5.6 9.3 800 na
Mizuho 1.5 5.6 9.4 900 na
Nomura 1.6 5.5 9.6 850 870
Shanghai Securities 0.9 5.5 9.4 600 na
Shenwan Hongyuan 1.5 5.5 9.4 900 1100
Standard
Chartered 1.6 5.8 9.3 766 806
UBS 1.6 5.5 9.6 700 na
Trade
Bal Exports Imports Retail
July $ July ($ July ($ Investment Output Sales
Bln %) %) Jan-July July July
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 46.4 10.8 17.5 8.6 7.0 10.7
High 56.0 14.5 23.1 9.3 7.8 11.5
Low 41.0 8.5 13.0 8.4 6.5 10.6
Mean 46.9 11.2 17.7 8.6 7.0 10.9
No. 17 19 19 19 18 19
Previous 42.8 11.3 17.2 8.6 7.6 11.0
BAML 43.9 11.0 18.4 8.6 6.9 10.7
Bank of China na 13.9 23.1 8.6 7.3 11.0
Bank of
Communications 49.0 10.0 13.0 8.4 6.5 10.7
CICC na 10.8 17.0 8.5 7.0 10.7
CITIC Sec 46.6 10.0 15.0 8.6 7.2 10.7
Commerzbank 46.1 14.5 22.8 8.6 6.8 10.7
Guotai Junan
Securities 56.0 10.1 17.5 9.0 7.0 11.3
Huachuang Sec 46.7 10.6 15.7 8.5 6.7 10.7
Huarong Sec 56.0 10.1 17.5 9.0 7.0 11.3
Huatai Sec 46.6 11.5 17.0 8.7 7.0 10.6
Industrial Bank 46.2 12.0 18.0 8.4 6.9 10.8
ING 41.8 11.0 20.3 8.5 7.8 11.5
Merchants Sec 41.0 8.5 17.1 8.4 7.2 10.8
Mizuho 48.6 10.0 15.0 8.6 na 11.0
Nomura 44.8 10.5 17.0 8.5 7.0 10.7
Shanghai
Securities 44.0 13.5 20.9 9.3 7.0 10.6
Shenwan Hongyuan 48.0 13.0 18.0 8.6 6.8 10.8
Standard
Chartered 46.2 12.0 18.0 8.7 6.8 10.7
UBS 46.4 10.0 15.0 8.7 7.3 11.0
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
July forex reserves data due for release on Aug. 7
June trade data due for release on Aug. 8.
June CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Aug. 9.
The Q2 GDP, industrial output, retail sales and fixed-asset investment due
for release at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Aug 14.
No scheduled release time for July money supply, bank loans and total
social financing.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: vince.morkri@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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