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Market News Topics
October 12, 2017 07:55 GMT
MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts
MNI (Singapore)
All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise specified
New Loans TSF
M2 Sep Sep
GDP Q3 CPI Sep PPI Sep ytd Sep CNY Bln CNY Bln
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 6.8 1.6 6.3 8.9 1200 1565
High 6.9 1.7 7.1 9.2 1300 2000
Low 6.7 1.4 6 8.7 1000 1200
Mean 6.8 1.6 6.4 8.9 1173 1556
No. 15 18 18 19 19 12
Previous 6.9 1.8 6.3 8.9 1.09 1.48
BAML 6.8 1.6 6.3 8.8 1250 1600
Bank of Communications 6.8 1.6 6.1 9.2 1300 na
BOC International 6.8 1.6 6.8 9.1 1250 na
Capital Economics 6.8 1.5 6.1 8.8 1300 2000
CICC 6.8 1.5 6.6 8.9 1100 1400
Citics Sec na 1.6 6 9 1200 na
Goldman Sachs 6.9 1.7 6.2 8.7 1000 1500
Guosen Sec 6.7 1.4 6.3 8.8 1100 1300
Guotai Junan Sec 6.8 1.5 6.5 8.9 1100 1500
Hua Chuang Sec na 1.5 6.1 9 1000 na
Industrial Bank 6.8 1.5 6.3 8.9 1300 1600
ING na na na na na na
Merchants Sec 6.8 1.6 7.1 9 1000 1200
Mizuho 6.8 1.6 6.9 8.7 1000 na
Morgan Stanley 6.7 1.6 6.5 8.9 1200 1530
NatWest na na na 8.7 1250 1800
Peking U Research 6.7 1.7 6.3 9 1200 na
Shanghai Sec na 1.5 6.4 8.8 1200 na
Shenwan Hongyuan Sec 6.9 1.5 6.3 8.9 1300 1600
Standard Chartered 6.7 1.4 6.8 9.2 1235 1647
Imports FAI Industrial Retail
Trade Bal Exports Sep YTD Production Sales
Sep $Bln Sep($%) ($%) Sep Sep Sep
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 37.3 9.6 14.0 7.8 6.5 10.1
High 46.5 15 16.7 8.0 7.2 10.5
Low 33.3 7.0 9.1 7.3 6.1 9.9
Mean 38.7 9.7 13.7 7.8 6.6 10.1
No. 18 19 19 18 17 18
Previous 41.99 5.5 13.3 7.8 6.0 10.1
BAML 36.5 10.8 16.7 7.6 6.8 10.2
Bank of
Communications 42.0 10.0 12.0 8.0 7.0 10.1
BOC
International na 9.5 13.7 7.7 7.0 10.1
Capital
Economics na na na 7.3 6.2 10.0
CICC 37.3 10.0 15.0 7.9 6.7 10.3
Citics Sec 42.4 8.5 9.5 8.0 6.2 10.3
Goldman Sachs 46.5 15.0 15.0 7.9 7.2 10.3
Guosen Sec 33.3 7.0 14.0 7.6 6.1 10.0
Guotai Junan Sec 37.3 10.0 15.0 7.5 6.8 10.0
Hua Chuang Sec 43.96 10.0 11.0 7.7 6.5 10.0
Industrial Bank 37.0 9.0 14.0 8.0 6.4 9.9
ING 37.0 8.6 13.4 na na na
Merchants Sec 45.0 9.6 9.1 8.0 6.3 10.3
Mizuho 35.3 7.0 12.0 7.6 na 10.1
Morgan Stanley 38.2 10.0 14.4 7.6 6.6 10.1
NatWest 40.0 11.6 15.6 na na na
Peking U
Research 34.0 7.2 13.8 8.0 6.2 10.1
Shanghai Sec 40.0 11.8 15.4 7.6 6.5 10.5
Shenwan Hongyuan
Sec 34.6 9.5 16.2 7.9 6.5 10.1
Standard
Chartered 35.5 9.0 15.0 8.0 7.0 10.0
Note: "*" The NBS did not release retail sales and industrial output data
for February; data listed for Jan-Feb period.
The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above and is
not intended to represent a market consensus.
Sep trade data due for release on Oct 13.
Sep CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Oct 16; Q3 GDP, Sep
industrial output, retail sales and ytd fixed-asset investment due for release
at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Oct 19.
No scheduled release time for Sep money supply, bank loans and total social
financing.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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