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MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts

     All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise specified 
                                                           New Loans      TSF
                                                       M2        Sep      Sep
                        GDP Q3  CPI Sep  PPI Sep  ytd Sep    CNY Bln  CNY Bln
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median                     6.8      1.6      6.3      8.9       1200     1565
High                       6.9      1.7      7.1      9.2       1300     2000
Low                        6.7      1.4        6      8.7       1000     1200
Mean                       6.8      1.6      6.4      8.9       1173     1556
No.                         15       18       18       19         19       12
Previous                   6.9      1.8      6.3      8.9       1.09     1.48
BAML                       6.8      1.6      6.3      8.8       1250     1600
Bank of Communications     6.8      1.6      6.1      9.2       1300       na
BOC International          6.8      1.6      6.8      9.1       1250       na
Capital Economics          6.8      1.5      6.1      8.8       1300     2000
CICC                       6.8      1.5      6.6      8.9       1100     1400
Citics Sec                  na      1.6        6        9       1200       na
Goldman Sachs              6.9      1.7      6.2      8.7       1000     1500
Guosen Sec                 6.7      1.4      6.3      8.8       1100     1300
Guotai Junan Sec           6.8      1.5      6.5      8.9       1100     1500
Hua Chuang Sec              na      1.5      6.1        9       1000       na
Industrial Bank            6.8      1.5      6.3      8.9       1300     1600
ING                         na       na       na       na         na       na
Merchants Sec              6.8      1.6      7.1        9       1000     1200
Mizuho                     6.8      1.6      6.9      8.7       1000       na
Morgan Stanley             6.7      1.6      6.5      8.9       1200     1530
NatWest                     na       na       na      8.7       1250     1800
Peking U Research          6.7      1.7      6.3        9       1200       na
Shanghai Sec                na      1.5      6.4      8.8       1200       na
Shenwan Hongyuan Sec       6.9      1.5      6.3      8.9       1300     1600
Standard Chartered         6.7      1.4      6.8      9.2       1235     1647
                            FAI  Industrial Production  Retail Sales
                        YTD Sep                    Sep           Sep
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Median                      7.8                    6.5          10.1
High                        8.0                    7.2          10.5
Low                         7.3                    6.1           9.9
Mean                        7.8                    6.6          10.1
No.                          18                     17            18
Previous                    7.8                    6.0          10.1
BAML                        7.6                    6.8          10.2
Bank of Communications      8.0                    7.0          10.1
BOC International           7.7                    7.0          10.1
Capital Economics           7.3                    6.2          10.0
CICC                        7.9                    6.7          10.3
Citics Sec                  8.0                    6.2          10.3
Goldman Sachs               7.9                    7.2          10.3
Guosen Sec                  7.6                    6.1          10.0
Guotai Junan Sec            7.5                    6.8          10.0
Hua Chuang Sec              7.7                    6.5          10.0
Industrial Bank             8.0                    6.4           9.9
ING                          na                     na            na
Merchants Sec               8.0                    6.3          10.3
Mizuho                      7.6                     na          10.1
Morgan Stanley              7.6                    6.6          10.1
NatWest                      na                     na            na
Peking U Research           8.0                    6.2          10.1
Shanghai Sec                7.6                    6.5          10.5
Shenwan Hongyuan Sec        7.9                    6.5          10.1
Standard Chartered          8.0                    7.0          10.0
     Note: "*" The NBS did not release retail sales and industrial output data
for February; data listed for Jan-Feb period. 
     The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above and is
not intended to represent a market consensus.
     Sep CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Oct 16; Q3 GDP, Sep
industrial output, retail sales and ytd fixed-asset investment due for release
at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Oct 19. 
     No scheduled release time for Sep money supply, bank loans and total social
financing.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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