Free Trial

MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts

MNI (Singapore)
     All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise specified 
                                     Fixed Asset       Industrial
                   GDP              Investment        Production   Retail Sales
                         Q2              Jan-Sep              Sep            Sep
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median                  6.8                  7.8              6.5           10.1
High                    6.9                  8.0              7.2           10.5
Low                     6.7                  7.3              6.1            9.9
Mean                    6.8                  7.8              6.6           10.1
No.                      15                   18               17             18
Previous                6.9                  7.8              6.0           10.1
BAML                    6.8                  7.6              6.8           10.2
Bank of
Communications          6.8                  8.0              7.0           10.1
BOC International       6.8                  7.7              7.0           10.1
Capital Economics       6.8                  7.3              6.2           10.0
CICC                    6.8                  7.9              6.7           10.3
Citics Sec               na                  8.0              6.2           10.3
Goldman Sachs           6.9                  7.9              7.2           10.3
Guosen Sec              6.7                  7.6              6.1           10.0
Guotai Junan Sec        6.8                  7.5              6.8           10.0
Hua Chuang Sec           na                  7.7              6.5           10.0
Industrial Bank         6.8                  8.0              6.4            9.9
ING                      na                   na               na             na
Merchants Sec           6.8                  8.0              6.3           10.3
Mizuho                  6.8                  7.6               na           10.1
Morgan Stanley          6.7                  7.6              6.6           10.1
NatWest                  na                   na               na             na
Peking U Research       6.7                  8.0              6.2           10.1
Shanghai Sec             na                  7.6              6.5           10.5
Shenwan Hongyuan
Sec                     6.9                  7.9              6.5           10.1
Standard
Chartered               6.7                  8.0              7.0           10.0
     Note: "*" The NBS did not release retail sales and industrial output data
for February; data listed for Jan-Feb period. 
     The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above and is
not intended to represent a market consensus.
     Sep trade data due for release on Oct 13.
     Sep CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Oct 16; Q3 GDP, Sep
industrial output, retail sales and ytd fixed-asset investment due for release
at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Oct 19. 
     No scheduled release time for Sep money supply, bank loans and total social
financing.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.