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November 03, 2017 07:12 GMT
MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified
TSF Oct
CPI Oct PPI Oct M2 ytd Oct New Loans Oct CNY Bln CNY Bln
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 1.8 6.6 9.2 773.0 1100.0
High 2.0 7.3 9.4 1270.0 1820.0
Low 1.5 6.1 9.0 600.0 850.0
Mean 1.8 6.5 9.2 765.4 1134.6
No. 15 22 22 21 13
Previous 1.6 6.9 9.2 1270 1820
BankComm 1.8 6.6 9.2 750 na
Bank of China 1.8 6.1 9.2 na na
Capital Economics 1.9 6.7 9.0 600 900
CITIC Sec 1.8 6.2 9.1 600 na
CICC 1.9 6.4 9.2 600 850
China Sec 1.8 6.4 9.1 780 na
Guotai Junan 1.7 6.5 9.2 800 1000
Huachang Sec 1.9 6.6 9.0 800 na
Huatai Sec 1.8 6.7 9.0 800 1100
Industrial Bank 1.7 6.6 9.3 610 870
ING 1.5 7.3 9.3 970 na
Merchant Sec 1.9 6.6 9.3 800 1200
Mizuho 2.0 6.4 9.0 700 na
Nomura 1.6 6.7 9.0 700 1100
Northeast Sec 1.6 6.9 9.2 1270 1820
Peking U Rsrch 1.9 6.8 9.2 800 na
Sinolink Sec 1.8 6.1 9.1 700 1100
Southwest Sec 1.8 6.4 9.2 773 na
Shanghai Sec 1.8 6.7 9.4 800 1310
Shenwan Hongyuan 1.8 6.3 9.1 920 1200
Standard Chartered 1.9 6.6 9.2 700 1000
UBS 1.8 6.3 9.2 600 1300
Trade Exports Imports Investment Output Retail
Bal $Bln $ % $ % YTD Oct Oct Sales Oct
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 38.9 7.1 16.1 7.4 6.3 10.4
High 46.0 12.1 21.0 7.7 6.8 10.8
Low 25.0 5.0 11.0 7.0 6.0 10.0
Mean 38.1 7.4 16.8 7.3 6.3 10.4
No. 18 22 22 22 22 22
Previous 28.47 8.1 18.7 7.5 6.6 10.3
BankComm 40.8 7.5 16.0 7.4 6.0 10.8
Bank of China na 7.5 20.0 7.4 6.6 10.5
Capital
Economics 25.0 5.0 15.0 7.2 6.0 10.5
CITIC Sec 35.7 6.0 11.0 7.7 6.4 10.2
CICC na 7.1 16.0 7.3 6.1 10.5
China Sec na 7.5 15.0 7.3 6.2 10.3
Guotai Junan 36.6 7.0 18.7 7.0 6.0 10.7
Huachang Sec 42.5 7.0 14.0 7.5 6.1 10.3
Huatai Sec 35.0 7.5 20.5 7.4 6.4 10.0
IndustrialBank 37.0 6.0 20.0 7.3 6.2 10.1
ING 42.5 12.1 21.0 7.4 6.6 10.1
Merchant Sec 46.0 9.1 14.2 7.2 6.2 10.6
Mizuho 39.0 6.5 16.5 7.3 6.2 10.5
Nomura 38.7 7.0 17.0 7.4 6.3 10.1
Northeast Sec 28.6 8.1 18.7 7.5 6.6 10.3
Peking U Rsrch 45.0 8.5 14.0 7.6 6.3 10.5
Sinolink Sec na 6.8 16.0 7.2 6.3 10.2
Southwest Sec 39.4 7.3 16.1 7.4 6.3 10.4
Shanghai Sec 38.0 9.1 20.5 7.3 6.8 10.5
Shenwan
Hongyuan 35.8 6.6 18.7 7.4 6.3 10.4
Standard
Chartered 40.0 7.0 16.0 7.2 6.2 10.5
UBS 40.4 6.5 15.0 7.2 6.2 10.4
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
October trade data due for release on Nov. 8.
October CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Nov. 9; Oct.
industrial output, retail sales and ytd fixed-asset investment due for release
at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Nov. 14.
October money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between Nov. 10 and Nov. 15. Date and time uncertain.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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