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December 05, 2017 08:39 GMT
MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified
New Loans TSF
CPI PPI M2 Nov Nov
Nov Nov End-Nov (CNY Bln) (CNY Bln)
----------------------------------------------------------------
Median 1.8 5.8 8.9 800.0 1290.0
High 2.0 7.0 9.2 979 1847
Low 1.5 5.5 8.7 660.0 900.0
Mean 1.8 5.9 8.9 814.9 1299.4
No. 21 21 19 20 13
Previous 1.9 6.9 8.8 663.2 1040
ANZ na na na na na
BAML 1.9 5.7 9.0 800.0 1400.0
Bank of Comm 1.8 5.6 9.1 850 na
CICC 1.9 5.8 9.0 800-850 1000-1100
Guohai Sec 1.8 5.8 na 850.0 na
Guotai Junan Securities 1.8 5.7 8.7 750.0 900.0
HSBC 1.5 6.1 9.2 800 1067
Huachuang Sec 1.8 6.0 8.9 800 na
Huatai Sec 1.8 5.8 9.0 900 1500
Industrial Bank 1.6 5.8 8.9 800 1250
ING 1.5 6.5 9.0 795 na
Merchants Sec 2.0 5.8 9.0 660 900
Minsheng Research 1.9 5.9 9.0 800 na
Mizuho 1.7 5.5 8.9 750
Moody's 1.8 6.3 na na na
Morgan Stanley 1.9 6.0 8.8 850.0 1330.0
Nomura 1.8 6.2 8.9 800 1200
Peking U 1.9 5.9 8.8 800
Shenwan Hongyuan 1.9 5.8 8.9 850 1600
Southwest Sec 2.0 6.0 8.8 750 na
Standard
Chartered 1.8 5.5 9.1 979 1847
UBS 1.9 5.8 8.8 900 na
Trade
Bal Exports Imports Industrial Retail
Nov ($ Nov ($ Nov ($ FAI Production Sales
Bln) %) %) Jan-Nov Nov Nov
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 36.5 6.0 11.0 7.2 6.1 10.3
High 51.8 9.1 16.0 7.3 6.4 10.8
Low 27.8 -0.5 9.0 7.0 5.9 9.8
Mean 37.0 5.7 12.0 7.2 6.1 10.3
No. 20 21 21 19 19 19
Previous 38.2 6.9 17.2 7.3 6.2 10
ANZ 38.1 9.1 15.0 na na na
BAML 36.0 7.4 14.0 7.1 6.1 10.3
Bank of Comm 38 6.0 11.0 7.2 6.1 10.1
CICC na 5.0 10.0 7.2 6.1 10.5
Guohai Sec na 6.5 11.0 7.3 6.0 10.2
Guotai Junan
Securities 36.3 7.0 10.0 7.0 6.2 10.5
HSBC 36.3 5.0 11.0 na na na
Huachuang Sec 51.8 2.3 9.0 7.1 6.1 10.3
Huatai Sec 42.0 7.0 10.0 7.3 6.0 9.8
Industrial Bank 43.0 5.0 12.0 7.2 6.0 10.4
ING 32.2 6.5 14.8 7.2 6.3 10.5
Merchants Sec 37.0 8.0 14.3 7.2 6.2 10.8
Minsheng
Research 40.0 5.9 9.7 7.0 6.1 9.8
Mizuho 34.2 5.0 13.0 7.2 6.4 10.3
Moody's 33.0 na na na na na
Morgan Stanley 37.0 6.0 12.0 7.2 6.1 10.3
Nomura 27.8 -0.5 9.5 7.3 6.1 9.9
Peking U 40.0 6.7 15.5 7.1 6.0 9.9
Shenwan
Hongyuan 34.7 3.4 9.9 7.0 6.0 10.5
Southwest Sec 37.7 5.0 10.0 7.1 5.9 10.5
Standard
Chartered 32.5 7.0 16.0 7.1 6.4 10.3
UBS 33.1 6.5 15.0 7.2 6.2 10.4
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
Nov. trade data due for release on Dec. 8, time uncertain.
Nov. CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Dec. 9; Nov.
industrial output, retail sales and ytd fixed-asset investment due for release
at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Dec. 14.
Nov. money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between Dec. 11 and Dec. 13. Date and time uncertain.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: iris.ouyang@marketnews.com
--MNI BEIJING Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: john.carter@mni-news.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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