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MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
                          M2  New Loans      TSF
------------------------------------------------
                    End-Aug.       Aug.     Aug.
                                CNY Bln  CNY Bln
Median                   9.1      950.0   1300.0
High                     9.5     1200.0   1600.0
Low                      8.8      700.0   1100.0
Mean                     9.1      934.3   1323.1
No.                       20         20       13
Previous                 9.2        826     1220
BAML                     9.3        900     1600
BankComm                 9.4        950       na
Capital Economics        9.1        900     1400
CITIC Sec                9.1        850       na
CICC                     9.2       1200     1500
China Sec                9.1        850       na
Goldman Sachs            8.9       1000     1300
Guotai Junan             8.8        850     1300
Huachang Sec             9.3        950       na
Huatai Sec               9.2       1000     1400
IndustrialBank           9.2        950     1250
ING                      9.1       1075       na
Macquarie                9.2       1000       na
Merchant Sec             8.8        700     1100
Mizuho                   9.2        900       na
Natwest                   na         na       na
Nomura                   8.9        850     1150
Sinolink Sec             9.1        900     1150
Southwest Sec            9.5         na       na
Shenwan Hongyuan         9.1        950     1400
Standard Chartered       9.0        960     1300
UBS                       na        950     1350
                    Investment  Output  Retail Sales
----------------------------------------------------
                      Jan-Aug.    Aug.          Aug.
Median                     8.2     6.6          10.5
High                       8.5     6.8          10.8
Low                        8.0     6.0          10.0
Mean                       8.2     6.6          10.4
No.                         20      21            19
Previous                   8.3     6.4          10.4
BAML                       8.1     6.8          10.6
BankComm                   8.0     6.2          10.5
Capital Economics          8.5     6.0          10.5
CITIC Sec                  8.3     6.6          10.2
CICC                       8.2     6.5          10.6
China Sec                  8.3     6.6          10.2
Goldman Sachs              8.3     6.8          10.7
Guotai Junan               8.0     6.5          10.8
Huachang Sec               8.2     6.5          10.5
Huatai Sec                 8.3     6.8          10.0
IndustrialBank             8.3     6.5          10.4
ING                        8.2     6.2          10.1
Macquarie                  8.1     6.5          10.3
Merchant Sec               8.2     6.7            na
Mizuho                     8.3     6.7          10.5
Natwest                     na      na            na
Nomura                     8.3     6.8          10.2
Sinolink Sec               8.2     6.6          10.4
Southwest Sec               na     6.7          10.6
Shenwan Hongyuan           8.2     6.7          10.6
Standard Chartered         8.2     6.7          10.6
UBS                        8.1     6.6            na
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     August industrial output, retail sales and fixed-asset investment due for
release at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Sep 14.
     August money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between September 11 and 15. Date and time uncertain. 
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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