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Free AccessMNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
M2 New Loans TSF
------------------------------------------------
End-Aug. Aug. Aug.
CNY Bln CNY Bln
Median 9.1 950.0 1300.0
High 9.5 1200.0 1600.0
Low 8.8 700.0 1100.0
Mean 9.1 934.3 1323.1
No. 20 20 13
Previous 9.2 826 1220
BAML 9.3 900 1600
BankComm 9.4 950 na
Capital Economics 9.1 900 1400
CITIC Sec 9.1 850 na
CICC 9.2 1200 1500
China Sec 9.1 850 na
Goldman Sachs 8.9 1000 1300
Guotai Junan 8.8 850 1300
Huachang Sec 9.3 950 na
Huatai Sec 9.2 1000 1400
IndustrialBank 9.2 950 1250
ING 9.1 1075 na
Macquarie 9.2 1000 na
Merchant Sec 8.8 700 1100
Mizuho 9.2 900 na
Natwest na na na
Nomura 8.9 850 1150
Sinolink Sec 9.1 900 1150
Southwest Sec 9.5 na na
Shenwan Hongyuan 9.1 950 1400
Standard Chartered 9.0 960 1300
UBS na 950 1350
Investment Output Retail Sales
----------------------------------------------------
Jan-Aug. Aug. Aug.
Median 8.2 6.6 10.5
High 8.5 6.8 10.8
Low 8.0 6.0 10.0
Mean 8.2 6.6 10.4
No. 20 21 19
Previous 8.3 6.4 10.4
BAML 8.1 6.8 10.6
BankComm 8.0 6.2 10.5
Capital Economics 8.5 6.0 10.5
CITIC Sec 8.3 6.6 10.2
CICC 8.2 6.5 10.6
China Sec 8.3 6.6 10.2
Goldman Sachs 8.3 6.8 10.7
Guotai Junan 8.0 6.5 10.8
Huachang Sec 8.2 6.5 10.5
Huatai Sec 8.3 6.8 10.0
IndustrialBank 8.3 6.5 10.4
ING 8.2 6.2 10.1
Macquarie 8.1 6.5 10.3
Merchant Sec 8.2 6.7 na
Mizuho 8.3 6.7 10.5
Natwest na na na
Nomura 8.3 6.8 10.2
Sinolink Sec 8.2 6.6 10.4
Southwest Sec na 6.7 10.6
Shenwan Hongyuan 8.2 6.7 10.6
Standard Chartered 8.2 6.7 10.6
UBS 8.1 6.6 na
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
August industrial output, retail sales and fixed-asset investment due for
release at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Sep 14.
August money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between September 11 and 15. Date and time uncertain.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.