MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: Dec 20 - Dec 21

                    Dec 20    Dec 21    Dec 21    Dec 21        Dec 21    Dec 21

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                             Durable   Durable                              Core

                               Goods                           Current       PCE

                   Leading       New     Goods  Personal        Dollar     Price

                                           Ex.

                     Index    Orders     Trans    Income           PCE     Index

Data For               Nov       Nov       Nov       Nov           Nov       Nov

Denomination          % Ch      % Ch      % Ch      % Ch          % Ch      % Ch

Median Forecast

**                     0.0       0.0       0.4       0.3           0.4       0.2

High Forecast          0.0       2.0       0.7       0.3           0.4       0.2

Low Forecast           0.0      -0.6      -0.6       0.2           0.3       0.1

Mean                   0.0       0.4       0.3       0.3           0.4       0.2

Standard

Deviation              0.0       0.9       0.5       0.0           0.0       0.0

No. of

Responses                2         7         6         7             7         4

Amherst

Pierpont                NA       0.4       0.7       0.3           0.4        NA

BMO                     NA       2.0       0.3       0.3           0.3       0.2

Capital

Economics               NA      -0.2       0.5       0.2           0.4       0.2

CIBC                    NA      -0.2       0.7       0.3           0.4        NA

Goldman Sachs           NA       0.0       0.0       0.3           0.4       0.1

UBS                    0.0      -0.6      -0.6       0.3           0.3       0.2

UMaryland              0.0       1.5        NA       0.3           0.3        NA

** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above

and is not intended to represent a market consensus.

--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com

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