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Free AccessMNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: GDP, Durables
Dec21 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 22
------------------------------------------------------------
Chain Durable Durable
Real Price Goods New Goods
GDP Index Orders Ex. Trans
Data For 3Q (t) 3Q (t) Nov Nov
Denomination Pct Chg Pct Chg Pct Chg Pct Chg
Median Forecast ** 3.3 2.1 2.3 0.6
High Forecast 3.6 2.1 4.0 2.0
Low Forecast 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.3
Mean 3.3 2.1 2.5 0.7
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.4
No. of Responses 16 7 16 15
Amherst Pierpont 3.6 NA 4.0 0.4
BofA/Merrill Lynch NA NA NA 0.6
Bank of the West 3.2 2.1 2.0 0.5
Barclays Capital 3.3 NA 2.5 2.0
BMO 3.3 2.1 2.5 0.3
BNP Paribas 3.3 NA 3.9 1.0
Capital Economics 3.3 NA 2.5 0.5
CIBC 3.3 2.1 1.8 0.4
Comerica Bank 3.3 2.1 NA NA
Credit Suisse 3.2 2.1 2.0 0.6
FT Advisors 3.3 2.1 3.3 1.1
Goldman Sachs 3.3 NA 2.0 0.6
Morgan Stanley 3.3 NA 1.8 0.4
Natwest NA NA 1.2 NA
Nomura 3.3 NA 2.0 0.5
NTL Bank Canada 3.3 NA 3.2 0.7
SocGen NA NA 2.8 0.7
TD Securities NA NA NA NA
UBS 3.4 NA NA NA
UMaryland 3.2 2.1 2.0 NA
** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.