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MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: GDP, Durables

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 20:06 GMT Dec 18/15:06 EST Dec 18
                        Dec21   Dec 21     Dec 22     Dec 22
------------------------------------------------------------
                                 Chain    Durable    Durable
                         Real    Price  Goods New      Goods
                          GDP    Index     Orders  Ex. Trans
Data For               3Q (t)   3Q (t)        Nov        Nov
Denomination          Pct Chg  Pct Chg    Pct Chg    Pct Chg
Median Forecast **        3.3      2.1        2.3        0.6
High Forecast             3.6      2.1        4.0        2.0
Low Forecast              3.2      2.1        1.2        0.3
Mean                      3.3      2.1        2.5        0.7
Standard Deviation        0.1      0.0        0.8        0.4
No. of Responses           16        7         16         15
Amherst Pierpont          3.6       NA        4.0        0.4
BofA/Merrill Lynch         NA       NA         NA        0.6
Bank of the West          3.2      2.1        2.0        0.5
Barclays Capital          3.3       NA        2.5        2.0
BMO                       3.3      2.1        2.5        0.3
BNP Paribas               3.3       NA        3.9        1.0
Capital Economics         3.3       NA        2.5        0.5
CIBC                      3.3      2.1        1.8        0.4
Comerica Bank             3.3      2.1         NA         NA
Credit Suisse             3.2      2.1        2.0        0.6
FT Advisors               3.3      2.1        3.3        1.1
Goldman Sachs             3.3       NA        2.0        0.6
Morgan Stanley            3.3       NA        1.8        0.4
Natwest                    NA       NA        1.2         NA
Nomura                    3.3       NA        2.0        0.5
NTL Bank Canada           3.3       NA        3.2        0.7
SocGen                     NA       NA        2.8        0.7
TD Securities              NA       NA         NA         NA
UBS                       3.4       NA         NA         NA
UMaryland                 3.2      2.1        2.0         NA
** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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