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Market News Topics
January 22, 2018 11:40 GMT
MNI UK Data Survey: Q4 UK GDP - First Estimate
MNI (London)
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 11:40 GMT Jan 22/06:40 EST Jan 22
By Jamie Satchithanantham
LONDON (MNI) - Ending what looks set to be a busy week for UK data, we have
perhaps the most eagerly watched piece of economic news with the release of the
preliminary estimate of Q4 GDP growth. Despite communication from the Bank of
England expecting growth to moderate in Q4 from Q3, analysts on the whole see
growth unchanged at 0.4% q/q.
Eleven of the sixteen analysts surveyed expected unchanged growth at 0.4%
q/q with a couple convinced growth gathered further momentum, rising to 0.5%
q/q. Three follow the Bank's line of thought, expecting the pace of growth over
Oct-Dec to moderate to 0.3% q/q.
Alongside the GDP report we will also learn how the Services sector got on
in November. Analysts saw output unchanged at 0.2% on the month.
----------------------------------------------------------
2017 Q4 2017 Q4 Nov Nov
First GDP First GDP UK UK
Estimate Estimate Index of Index of
rate rate Services Services
% Q/Q % Y/Y % M/M % Q/Q
Date Out 25-Jan 25-Jan 25-Jan 25-Jan
Median 0.4 1.4 0.2 0.4
High 0.5 1.5 0.3 0.4
Low 0.3 1.2 0.1 0.4
Std Dev 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Count 16 11 5 3
Prior 0.4 1.7 0.2 1.2
Berenberg 0.5 N/A N/A N/A
Capital 0.4 1.4 0.2 0.4
Credit Suisse 0.4 N/A N/A N/A
Commerzbank 0.4 N/A N/A N/A
Daiwa 0.4 1.4 N/A N/A
HSBC 0.4 1.4 0.2 0.4
Investec 0.4 1.4 N/A N/A
JP Morgan 0.4 1.4 0.1 N/A
Lloyds TSB 0.4 1.4 0.2 0.4
Natixis 0.4 1.4 0.3 N/A
Nomura 0.5 1.5 N/A N/A
Pantheon 0.3 N/A N/A N/A
RBC 0.3 1.3 N/A N/A
Stan Chart 0.4 N/A N/A N/A
Societe Generale 0.4 1.4 N/A N/A
UniCredit 0.3 1.2 N/A N/A
--MNI London Bureau; +44 203-586-2226; email: jamie.satchithanantham@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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