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Market News Topics
February 12, 2018 12:10 GMT
MNI UK DATA SURVEY: UK January Retail Sales
MNI (London)
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 12:10 GMT Feb 12/07:10 EST Feb 12
By Jamie Satchithanantham
LONDON (MNI) - Analysts foresee UK sales volumes back in the black, up
+0.5% m/m on a total basis and +0.4% m/m on a ex-fuel basis -- sales were up a
strong +1.0% m/m in November, followed by a -1.5% m/m slide in sales in
December.
The range of forecasts was pretty sizeable, however. Estimates for total
retail sales volumes growth (m/m) cam in as high as +0.9% m/m and as low as
-0.6% m/m.
With the forecasting chaos generated by Black Friday, Cyber Monday and
other seasonal promotions that the UK's Office for National Statistics has found
difficult to adjust its data for, it may be better to look at the cumulative
Nov-Jan period when making a comparison to the performance in other years.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jan Jan Jan Jan
Retail Sales Retail Sales Retail Sales Retail Sales
Incl. Petrol Incl. Petrol Excl. Petrol Excl. Petrol
% MoM % YoY % MoM % YoY
Date Out 16-Feb 16-Feb 16-Feb 16-Feb
Median 0.5 2.4 0.4 2.3
Forecast High 0.9 2.7 0.9 2.9
Forecast Low -0.6 1.4 -0.4 2.0
Standard Deviation 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Count 9 6 6 4
Prior -1.5 1.4 -1.6 1.3
Barclays -0.6 1.4 N/A N/A
Capital Economics 0.5 2.5 N/A N/A
Credit Suisse N/A N/A 0.3 N/A
Commerzbank 0.3 N/A N/A N/A
Investec 0.3 2.3 0.4 2.2
Lloyds TSB 0.9 2.7 0.9 2.9
Natixis 0.5 2.3 N/A N/A
Nomura N/A N/A 0.6 2.4
Oxford Economics 0.5 2.5 N/A N/A
Pantheon 0.6 N/A N/A N/A
Societe Generale N/A N/A 0.2 2.0
UniCredit -0.5 N/A -0.4 N/A
--MNI London Bureau; +44 203-586-2226; email: jamie.satchithanantham@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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