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MNI: US Data Forecast Focus: November ISM Mfg Index Seen At 58.0> 

     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The ISM manufacturing index is expected to fall 
further to a reading of 58.0 in November after dipping to 58.7 in 
October. Regional conditions data have suggested growth slowed in the 
month, but remained relatively strong. 
     Analysts slightly overestimated the headline ISM index in 
October after a string of underestimates. Recent November data have 
been evenly split between underestimates and overestimates.
Forecast:                Jun-17  Jul-17  Aug-17  Sep-17  Oct-17  Nov-17
 Median                    55.5    56.3    56.6    58.0    59.5    58.0
 Range High                56.8    57.5    56.0    59.0    61.0    58.7
 Range Low                 54.5    55.0    57.5    57.0    58.0    57.0
Actual result              57.8    56.3    58.8    60.8    58.7    #N/A
 vs median forecast        -2.3     0.0    -2.2    -2.8     0.8    #N/A
Historical comparison:   Nov-11  Nov-12  Nov-13  Nov-14  Nov-15  Nov-16
 Median                    52.0    51.6    55.8    57.9    50.5    52.3
 Range High                53.0    52.5    56.8    61.0    51.0    54.0
 Range Low                 51.0    50.5    54.0    56.0    48.0    51.8
Actual result              52.7    49.5    57.3    58.7    48.6    53.2
 vs median forecast        -0.7     2.1    -1.5    -0.8     1.9    -0.9
                         Jun-17  Jul-17  Aug-17  Sep-17  Oct-17  Nov-17
 MNI Chicago               65.7    58.9    58.9    65.2    66.2    63.9
 Phila. Fed Index          27.6    19.5    18.9    23.8    27.9    22.7
 Empire State Index        19.8     9.8    25.2    24.4    30.2    19.4
--Kevin Kastner 202-371-2121; email:kkastner@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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