MNI US Morning Briefing

     LONDON (MNI) - Across the Atlantic, Tuesday's data calendar gets underway

at 0830ET, when the US Personal Income and Consumption data will be published.

     Personal income is expected to post a 0.4% decrease in June, as payrolls

rose by 222,000, average weekly hours rose to 34.5 hours, and rose by 0.2%.

Current dollar PCE is forecast to rise by only 0.1%, as retail sales fell 0.2%

in the month and were still down 0.2% excluding a 0.1% rise in motor vehicle

sales. Core retail sales (also ex. gas) were down 0.1% in the month, while sales

excluding autos, gas, building materials and food services fell 0.1%, indicating

underlying weakness. The core PCE price index is expected to post a 0.1%

increase in June, keeping the y/y measure well below 2%. Annual revisions will

be included with the data.

     The latest Redbook Retail Sales Index will be published at 0855ET.

     The Markit final July Manufacturing Index will be published at 0945ET.

     At 1000ET, the ISM Manufacturing Index and the latest construction spending

data will be released.

     The ISM manufacturing index is expected to slip back to a reading of 56.9

in July after a solid gain to 57.8 in July. Regional conditions data have been

mixed, with the Empire, Kansas City and Philadelphia Fed readings declining, but

the Richmond Fed index up. The flash reading for the July Markit manufacturing

survey was up from June.

     Construction spending is expected to rise 0.4% in June. Housing starts

surged 8.3% in the month after three straight declines, suggesting private

residential building could rebound after dip in May.

     The Dallas Fed Services Survey will cross the wires at 1030ET

--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com