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MNI US Morning Briefing

     LONDON (MNI) - Across the Atlantic proceedings kick off with the US MBA
Weekly Applications Index at 1100GMT.
     At 1200GMT UK Prime Minister Theresa May will face the latest round of
weekly PMQ's.
     The US ADP Employment Report will be published at 1215GMT, the figure is
pre-cursor to the more widely watched NFP Report on Friday.
     At 1345GMT the final October US Markit Manufacturing Index will be
released.
     Several US releases come at 1400GMT: ISM Manufacturing Index, Construction
Spending and the Help-Wanted Online Index.
     The ISM manufacturing index is expected to fall to a reading of 59.5 in
October after rising to a recent peak of 60.8 in September despite the
hurricanes that month. Regional conditions have suggested stronger growth
     Construction spending is expected to hold steady in September, though the
hurricanes present a short-term downside risk. Housing starts fell 4.7% in the
month, suggesting private residential building could be weak.
     At 1430GMT the DoE Weekly Crude Stocks data are on the docket.
     Swiss National Banks Governing Board Member Fritz Zurbruegg will give a
speech on "Loans, Debt and Growth", in Berne, Switzerland.
     The main event of the day is up at 1800GMT, the FOMC policy announcement,
in Washington. Consumed with speculation over who will be the next leader of the
Federal Reserve, markets are giving relatively little attention to the November
Federal Open Market Committee meeting, in which the Fed is widely expected to
stand pat on interest rates.
     Officials are likely to continue their vigorous debate over whether another
rate increase is needed this year even as inflation remains short of their 2%
goal. But with the economy evolving broadly as expected and labour markets
tightening further in the past six weeks, there is little reason why the 12 FOMC
members who in September said they were prepared to move forward with another
hike this year would change their minds.
     With markets already betting heavily on a Dec. 13 rate hike, there is no
need for the FOMC to drop any overt hint about a move at the next meeting. Aside
from small updates to its review of the economy, expect the statement to stand
little changed from September.
     At 2015GMT Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz and Senior Deputy Governor
Carolyn Wilkins appearance before Senate Standing Committee on Banking, Trade
and Commerce.
--MNI London Bureau; +44 203 865 3809; email: kieran.williams@marketnews.com

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