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MNI US Morning Briefing

MNI (London)
     LONDON (MNI) - Across the Atlantic, the US calendar kicks off at 0830ET,
with the release of this week's Jobless Claims data.
     The level of initial jobless claims is expected to rebound by 25,000 to
245,000 in the January 20 week after a surprise 41,000 decline in the previous
week to a 45-year low level. The four-week moving average would slide by 500 in
the coming week, as the 247,000 level in the December 23 week drops out of the
calculation, assuming the MNI forecast is correct and there are no revisions.
     Canadian retail sales and payroll employment numbers will be released at
the same time.
     Back in Europe, at 0900ET, the BNB Business Sentiment Index will be
released.
     There is a string of US data set for release at 1000ET, including now home
sales, building permit revisions and leading indicators.
     New home sales are expected to fall to a 679,000 annual rate in December
following a sharp increase in November. Unadjusted sales were up 30.0% from a
year earlier. Home supply was flat in November, so the months supply dipped to
4.6 months. Even so, there should be adequate homes available for sale when
demand returns.
     The index of leading indicators is forecast to rise by 0.5% in December.
Positive contributions are expected from the ISM new orders index and a surge in
stock prices. Softer consumer expectations will provide some offset.
     At 1030ET, the latest Natural Gas Stocks data will be published, followed
by the Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index at 1100ET.
     Late US sees the Fed's Weekly M2 Money Supply Data set for release at
1630ET.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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