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Modest Outperformance To US FI Across The Board

CANADA
  • GoCs have seen a little more outperformance to Tsys through the session, with Can-US yield differentials dipping 1-2bps across 2-10Y tenors.
  • The outperformance is evident in rates space as well, with 3-mth CORRA futures as much as 5 ticks richer on the day vs 3 ticks for SOFR.
  • CORH4/Z4 at -74.5bps has given back some of Monday’s push higher to -71bps for what had been its least inverted since the surprisingly soft February CPI report on Mar 19.
  • As for the nearer-term, BoC-dated OIS is showing closer to 14bps of cumulative cuts for June vs a little less than 50/50 odds of a cut both yesterday and earlier today.
  • The CAD jobs report is the next major local catalyst here.

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