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Modest selling pressure has pulled the rug.....>

KIWI
KIWI: Modest selling pressure has pulled the rug from under NZD/USD as the rate
has retraced a spike posted in the NY/Asia crossover in reaction to New
Zealand's Q3 GDP data. Headline figures were pretty strong, GDP growth
accelerated more than forecast to +0.7% from +0.1% and on a Y/Y basis it picked
up to +2.3% from +2.1%. The fly in the ointment was a decent downward revision
to the prior reading of Q/Q GDP change, to +0.1% from +0.5%.
- New Zealand's trade balance, released at the same time, showed a wider than
exp. deficit, albeit underpinned by slight beats in both imports and exports.
- The rate now trades at $0.6579, 11 pips lower. A break below Wednesday's
trough at $0.6552 would shift the focus squarely to the key support from the
$0.6531 200-DMA. Bulls look for a resumption of the uptrend, which would be
heralded by a clearance of the Dec 13 high of $0.6636.
- Wednesday saw the rate start on a softer note, pressured by a poor GDT auction
& wider than exp. BoP current a/c deficit. European hours brought reprieve, with
the rate edging into positive territory ahead of the WMR fix.
- NZ focus turns to the ANZ Consumer Confidence Survey, due on Friday.

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