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Monthly Data Show Sticky Domestically-Driven Inflation

AUSTRALIA DATA

The ABS has released the monthly goods/services and tradeables/non-tradeables components which given the RBA’s focus on services will be helpful. In the August RBA statement it said that “goods price inflation has eased, but the prices of many services are rising briskly”. Both services and non-tradeables inflation are off their peak but are not only still “too high” but are looking sticky. Goods/tradeables are driving the moderation in headline CPI.

  • There was a sharp rise in June services inflation to 6.3% y/y and that eased to 5.6% in July but the series is volatile and has been zigzagging since the start of 2023. It continues to run ahead of goods prices which rose 4.4% y/y in July down from 4.7%. Wages are an important driver of services inflation.
Australia services vs goods CPI y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

  • The move down in the domestically-driven non-tradeables CPI was not as pronounced at 6.5% y/y from 6.6%. It has been running around this rate for the last three months and is looking reluctant to come down further. It is off its December peak of 7.7%. Tradeables moderated sharply to 1.7% from 3.2%.
Australia non-tradeables vs tradeables CPI y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

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