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Free AccessMorgan Stanley have placed a limit.....>
DOLLAR-SWISS: Morgan Stanley have placed a limit order to sell USDCHF at 0.9940,
with a stop at 1.0065 and a target of 0.9400.
- In the note MS state that "with the USD rally nearing completion, we start to
position for USD weakness versus select currencies including CHF. We think that
CHF bearish sentiment has reached an extreme, and short positioning is also
becoming stretched. Indeed, CHF is the largest short position within the G10,
suggesting it could see a short squeeze higher as the USD weakens. Concerns
about the European integration project and uncertainty in Italy may also prompt
Swiss investors to increase their FX hedges on their EUR investments, which
would be CHF-supportive and lead EURCHF lower. USDCHF saw a significant rally in
the last three months as the wider USD LIBOR-OIS spread made this pair the best
carry trade within G10, but this could now reverse with the LIBOR-OIS spread
tightening. A risk to this trade is that the SNB intervenes in the market in
significant amounts to prevent CHF strength."
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.