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Mortgage Applications Hold Up Well Considering Jump In Mortgage Rate

US DATA
  • Composite applications increased +0.9% in the week to Jul 7 in only a modest bounce after -4.4% the week prior (refis -1%, purchases +2%).
  • It did however come against a 22bp increase in the 30-year conforming rate from 6.85% to 7.07%. That rate has now increased 89bps since the Feb’23 recent low, and comes close to the Oct’22 high of 7.16% that marked the highest since 2001.
  • The regular-jumbo spread continued to reverse some of its sizeable decline, rising from -16bps to -10bps to +3bps over the past two weeks, suggesting less relative tightening for the jumbo sector than through June.

30Y MBA rate (white), 10Y Tsy yield (pink), spread (red) and purchase applications level (green)Source: Bloomberg

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