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Mortgage Applications Trending Sideways, Modest Tightening In Jumbo Spreads

US DATA
  • MBA composite mortgage applications last week swiftly reversed the prior week’s climb, falling -5.7% (refis -8%, purchases -4.8%) after +6.3%.
  • It doesn’t change much from a trend perspective: mortgage applications have bounced 15-20% from Feb lows but remain historically depressed [green line].
  • It came as the 30Y conforming mortgage rate increased 9bps to 6.57% after -2bps [white line]. The spread over jumbo loans narrowed to 11bps for the tightest since the 4bps in late Mar/early April after bank stresses flared up, as the jumbo 30Y rate increased 13bps to 6.46%.


30Y conforming rate (white), 10Y Tsy yield (pink), spread to Tsys (red) and purchase applications level (green)Source: Bloomberg

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