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EGBS: Most Spreads To Bunds A Touch Tighter As Equities Rally, DSLs Lag

EGBS

Most EGBs are marginally tighter vs. Bunds this morning (less than 1bp), with an uptick in European equities helping that move

  • Dutch paper the exception, following some pre-DSL auction concession (~0.5bp wider last).
  • OAT/Bunds last 73.5bp with November closing lows at ~73bp eyed. A break below there would expose 71.6bp, which protects the psychological 70bp mark.
  • French fiscal and political risks continue to limit further tightening pressure at this juncture, with headline cues on that front set to become more prominent in the coming days/weeks.
  • BTP/Bunds holds around 110bp, with cycle closing lows at 106.4bp presenting the next downside target.
  • Impact of supply from Italy and the Austrian long end syndication eyed for short-term cues.
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Most EGBs are marginally tighter vs. Bunds this morning (less than 1bp), with an uptick in European equities helping that move

  • Dutch paper the exception, following some pre-DSL auction concession (~0.5bp wider last).
  • OAT/Bunds last 73.5bp with November closing lows at ~73bp eyed. A break below there would expose 71.6bp, which protects the psychological 70bp mark.
  • French fiscal and political risks continue to limit further tightening pressure at this juncture, with headline cues on that front set to become more prominent in the coming days/weeks.
  • BTP/Bunds holds around 110bp, with cycle closing lows at 106.4bp presenting the next downside target.
  • Impact of supply from Italy and the Austrian long end syndication eyed for short-term cues.