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MXN Steady Following Brief Bout Of Weakness On Monday

MEXICO
  • A brief bout of MXN weakness on Monday was attributed to outflows tied to the expiration of Banxico swaps that reports suggest may still be catching participants off guard. After a week without any swaps expiration, Banxico has $1.6b in FX hedges maturing this week, with $400m due on Monday.
  • USDMXN rose from around 17.04 to print 17.18 but the pair has since moderated within the middle of that range. The pair has traded through support at the 50-day EMA, which intersected yesterday at 17.1314. A clear break of this average would signal scope for a deeper pullback. Major support remains at 16.6262, the Jul 28 low.
  • Later this week, July retail sales and economic activity will be published before Mid-September inflation data. The next Banxico rate decision is due on September 28.

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