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NAB contend "upside and downside risks on.....>

FOREX
FOREX: NAB contend "upside and downside risks on EUR/CHF are asymmetric, meaning
greater EUR/CHF upside than upside potential given likely continued SNB
resistance to undo CHF appreciation. As such we maintain the view that CHF asset
exposure is best hedged directly through AUD/CHF rather than proxied via
AUD/EUR. From a corporate hedging perspective, NAB's view on AUD/CHF is that AUD
is at risk of being subjected to some independent weakness in coming weeks and
months, especially as the Federal election draws closer, but that AUD will
benefit at least as much, or more so, than CHF if and when a China-US trade deal
and done and risk sentiment enjoys a durable improvement. We are forecasting
AUD/CHF spending time below CHF0.70 in Q2 2019 before rising back up above
CHF0.71 in H2 2019."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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