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NATGAS: Henry Hub Extends Rally Above $2.5/mmbtu

NATGAS

Henry Hub front month extends the bullish trend this month to rally above $2.5/mmbtu for the first time since July. Prices are supported by a declining storage surplus towards the end of the injection season and with production below July and August levels amid ongoing Gulf of Mexico hurricane risks.

  • A tropical depression near the Gulf of Mexico has a 70% chance of formation in the next 48 hours and additional development is possible as is moves generally northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
  • Domestic natural gas demand is at 71.65bcf/d today, according to Bloomberg, compared to 72.2bcf/d over the previous week. The NOAA weather forecast still shows above normal temperature expected across all lower 48 areas through the 6-14 day period.
  • US domestic natural gas production was yesterday at 100.9bcf/d compared to an average of 101.1bcf/d so far this month, according to Bloomberg.
  • Feedgas flows to US LNG export terminals remain unchanged in recent days down at 12.17bcf/d today with a drop in Cove Point supply to near zero amid planned maintenance of an adjacent pipeline until Oct. 10.
  • Export flows to Mexico are today estimated at 6.6bcf/d, according to Bloomberg.
  • Nymex Henry Hub daily aggregate traded futures volume was 597k on Sept. 20.
    • US Natgas OCT 24 up 2.6% at 2.5$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas MAR 25 up 1.6% at 3.09$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas SEP 25 up 1.2% at 3.26$/mmbtu
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Henry Hub front month extends the bullish trend this month to rally above $2.5/mmbtu for the first time since July. Prices are supported by a declining storage surplus towards the end of the injection season and with production below July and August levels amid ongoing Gulf of Mexico hurricane risks.

  • A tropical depression near the Gulf of Mexico has a 70% chance of formation in the next 48 hours and additional development is possible as is moves generally northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
  • Domestic natural gas demand is at 71.65bcf/d today, according to Bloomberg, compared to 72.2bcf/d over the previous week. The NOAA weather forecast still shows above normal temperature expected across all lower 48 areas through the 6-14 day period.
  • US domestic natural gas production was yesterday at 100.9bcf/d compared to an average of 101.1bcf/d so far this month, according to Bloomberg.
  • Feedgas flows to US LNG export terminals remain unchanged in recent days down at 12.17bcf/d today with a drop in Cove Point supply to near zero amid planned maintenance of an adjacent pipeline until Oct. 10.
  • Export flows to Mexico are today estimated at 6.6bcf/d, according to Bloomberg.
  • Nymex Henry Hub daily aggregate traded futures volume was 597k on Sept. 20.
    • US Natgas OCT 24 up 2.6% at 2.5$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas MAR 25 up 1.6% at 3.09$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas SEP 25 up 1.2% at 3.26$/mmbtu