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NATGAS: Henry Hub Rises to Yearly High Amid Rising Demand

NATGAS

Henry Hub front month has extended the recent rally through the previous high of the year with temperatures falling across the US and supported by strong LNG export flows amid rising demand and supply risks in Europe.

  • The EIA weekly gas inventories for the week ending Nov. 15 will be released this afternoon at 10:30 ET (15:30GMT). The expectation is for a build of 2bcf according to a Bloomberg survey following a build of 42bcf the previous week. The seasonal normal shows a switch to withdrawals of around 2bcf.
  • Lower 48 natural gas demand has surged above normal to the highest since March at 89.5bcf/d today, according to Bloomberg. Forecasts show cold weather in the west spreading and taking temperatures across the lower 48 below normal towards the end of the month.
  • US LNG export terminal feedgas supply is near the highest since January at 13.42bcf/d today, BNEF shows.
  • US domestic natural gas production is estimated at 102.4bcf/d yesterday, according to Bloomberg, in line with levels from the last week but below volumes of over 105bcf/d this time last year.
  • Export flows to Mexico are estimated at 6.5bcf/d today, according to Bloomberg.
  • Nymex Henry Hub daily aggregate traded futures volume was the highest since May at 792k on Nov. 20.
    • US Natgas DEC 24 up 5.7% at 3.37$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas JAN 25 up 4% at 3.53$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas NOV 25 up 1.7% at 3.68$/mmbtu
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Henry Hub front month has extended the recent rally through the previous high of the year with temperatures falling across the US and supported by strong LNG export flows amid rising demand and supply risks in Europe.

  • The EIA weekly gas inventories for the week ending Nov. 15 will be released this afternoon at 10:30 ET (15:30GMT). The expectation is for a build of 2bcf according to a Bloomberg survey following a build of 42bcf the previous week. The seasonal normal shows a switch to withdrawals of around 2bcf.
  • Lower 48 natural gas demand has surged above normal to the highest since March at 89.5bcf/d today, according to Bloomberg. Forecasts show cold weather in the west spreading and taking temperatures across the lower 48 below normal towards the end of the month.
  • US LNG export terminal feedgas supply is near the highest since January at 13.42bcf/d today, BNEF shows.
  • US domestic natural gas production is estimated at 102.4bcf/d yesterday, according to Bloomberg, in line with levels from the last week but below volumes of over 105bcf/d this time last year.
  • Export flows to Mexico are estimated at 6.5bcf/d today, according to Bloomberg.
  • Nymex Henry Hub daily aggregate traded futures volume was the highest since May at 792k on Nov. 20.
    • US Natgas DEC 24 up 5.7% at 3.37$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas JAN 25 up 4% at 3.53$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas NOV 25 up 1.7% at 3.68$/mmbtu