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NATGAS: Henry Hub Steady After Pull Back from High Near $3/mmbtu

NATGAS

Henry Hub front month futures have pulled back from the highest since mid June of $3.019/mmbtu on Friday but maintain the bullish trend in place since late August amid a declining storage surplus ahead of the winter heating season.

  • Hurricane Milton is intensifying as it heads towards Florida but the impact on energy appears to be limited.
  • US LNG export terminal feedgas supply is estimated at 12.22bcf/d today, BNEF shows, with Cove Point supply still halted amid maintenance.
  • Lower 48 natural gas demand remains above the previous five year average estimated at 70.5bcf/d today, according to Bloomberg. Temperatures across the lower 48 are generally forecast to remain above normal although following the seasonal trend lower. The NOAA 6-14 day forecast shows above normal temperatures in central and western areas but closer to normal on the East Coast.
  • US domestic natural gas production is estimated at 101.3bcf/d on Oct. 6, according to Bloomberg, compared to an average of 101.4bcf/d over the previous week.
  • Export flows to Mexico are today estimated at 6.1bcf/d, according to Bloomberg.
  • Nymex Henry Hub daily aggregate traded futures volume was 460k on Oct. 4.
    • US Natgas NOV 24 down 1.5% at 2.81$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas DEC 24 down 1% at 3.27$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas OCT 25 down 0.2% at 3.43$/mmbtu
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Henry Hub front month futures have pulled back from the highest since mid June of $3.019/mmbtu on Friday but maintain the bullish trend in place since late August amid a declining storage surplus ahead of the winter heating season.

  • Hurricane Milton is intensifying as it heads towards Florida but the impact on energy appears to be limited.
  • US LNG export terminal feedgas supply is estimated at 12.22bcf/d today, BNEF shows, with Cove Point supply still halted amid maintenance.
  • Lower 48 natural gas demand remains above the previous five year average estimated at 70.5bcf/d today, according to Bloomberg. Temperatures across the lower 48 are generally forecast to remain above normal although following the seasonal trend lower. The NOAA 6-14 day forecast shows above normal temperatures in central and western areas but closer to normal on the East Coast.
  • US domestic natural gas production is estimated at 101.3bcf/d on Oct. 6, according to Bloomberg, compared to an average of 101.4bcf/d over the previous week.
  • Export flows to Mexico are today estimated at 6.1bcf/d, according to Bloomberg.
  • Nymex Henry Hub daily aggregate traded futures volume was 460k on Oct. 4.
    • US Natgas NOV 24 down 1.5% at 2.81$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas DEC 24 down 1% at 3.27$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas OCT 25 down 0.2% at 3.43$/mmbtu