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NATGAS: TTF Edges Higher After Falling to Lowest SInce Aug. 5

NATGAS

TTF front month is edging higher after falling to the lowest since Aug. 5 under pressure from healthy storage and a lower recent geopolitical risk premium as the system copes with lower Norway pipeline supplies.

  • Norwegian pipeline supplies to Europe are today nominated at 190.0mcm/d, according to Bloomberg. Gassco shows outages of 165mcm/d today rising to 237mcm/d tomorrow with of start of reduced capacity at Nyhamna and Kollsnes.
  • European LNG sendout was up again to 258mcm/d on Sept 2 according to Bloomberg as flows have risen to cover for missing pipeline supplies.
  • Above normal temperatures are expected in NW Europe through the coming weekend before gradually falling below normal by Sept. 11.
  • European gas storage is up to 92.61% full on Sep 3 according to GIE compared to the five year average of 85.4%.
  • Gas transit flows via Sudzha are nominated at 42.15mcm/d today, according to Ukraine’s gas transmission operator.
  • Algeria gas flow to Italy at Mazara is still near a third of normal levels at 22.1mcm/d today, according to Bloomberg.
  • ICE TTF daily aggregate traded futures volume was 319k on Sep 4.
    • TTF OCT 24 up 0.8% at 36.08€/MWh
    • TTF WIN 24 up 0.7% at 38.63€/MWh
    • TTF SUM 25 up 0.7% at 37.89€/MWh
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