February 20, 2025 09:37 GMT
EGBS: Natixis Recommend Selling EU 10s Vs. 5s & 30s On Fly
EGBS
Natixis note that “fresh spending is likely to be enacted sooner on new defence projects to improve collective security in Europe. EU borrowing capacity will play a role in the new defence set-up.”
- Meanwhile, they are of the view that 10-Year EU bonds screen around ~10bp too expensive against a basket of EGBs.
- As a result, they recommend going short EU Dec34 (EU000A3K4ES4) on a fly against EU Dec30 (EU000A3LNF05) and EU Oct54 (EU000A3K4EY2) at -24.5bp.”
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