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​NBH To Release The Minute of June 22 Meeting

HUNGARY
  • Today (1pm London time), the NBH is set to publish the minutes of its June 22 meeting, when policymakers decided to start a tightening cycle to curb the inflationary pressures.
  • Investors will also focus on June CPI print coming out on June 8, which is expected to decelerate to 4.9% (vs. 5.1% the previous month).
  • The next inflation prints will be key for policy outlook; as a reminder the NBH raised its benchmark rate by 30bps at last meeting to 0.9% and participants are still expecting policymakers to hike by another 15bps at the next meeting on July 27.
  • This morning, economic data showed that industrial production rose slightly more than expected in May, up 40.2% (vs. 39.6% exp.).
  • USDHUF continues to trend higher, breaking above its 200DMA at 298.80 yesterday; next ST resistance to watch on the topside stands at 300. On the downside, first support stands at 295, followed by 291.80 (50DMA).
  • Hungary 10Y yield is flat this morning, currently trading slightly below its 50DMA at 2.88% (50DMA); a break above that level would open the door for a move up to 3%. On the downside, first support stands at 2.80%, followed by 2.76% (100DMA).

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