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NBP Gatnar Reiterates That Central Bank Should Rise By 15bps

POLAND
  • NBP member Gatnar reiterated in a conference that NBP should increase the policy rate by 15bps as he is getting concerned about price/wage spiral in Poland. He also mentioned that inflation will not return below the 3.5% upper tolerance band before H2 2022.
  • As a reminder, CPI inflation rose to 5.5% in August and now stand significantly above the NBP 3.5% upper tolerance band (see chart).
  • At this stage, there are three policymakers (Hardt, Gatnar and Zubelewicz) voting for an 'imminent' rate hike as they mentioned several times that inflation is now demand-driven in Poland and a gradual tightening could ease the inflationary pressures.
  • However, the majority of the board (including Governor Glapinski) still aims to keep financial conditions as loose as possible while the economic recovery is taking place.
  • The November meeting and projections will be key for policy outlook.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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