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NEER Rebounds, USD/SGD Breaks 20-Day EMA

SGD

The SGD NEER (per Goldman Sachs estimates) is marginally firmer today, recovering from recent lows post the fallout from the shift lower in global tightening expectations. The chart below shows the SGD NEER deviation from the top end of the band. We sit ~0.9% below the top end of the band currently.

  • For USD/SGD, the pair is pressured today, down ~0.2%. The pair last prints at $1.3420/25 as the broad based USD/Asia moves spills over to SGD.
  • The 20-Day EMA ($1.3437) has been breached this morning, the next downside target for bears is the 2023 low at $1.3032. Bulls target the 200-day EMA ($1.3617).
  • On the data front, 2022 saw a record near 230k jobs created. Employment levels are now 2.9% above pre-pandemic levels. Retrenchments did pick up through the second half of the year, albeit from a low base, but this does suggest some cooling the labor market.
  • Note that export data on Friday presents the next release of note.

Fig 1: SGD NEER - Deviation From The Top End Of The Band

Source: Goldman Sachs/MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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