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Negative Power Price Occurrences Surged in 1H 2024

POWER

European bidding zones – incl Norway and the UK – saw a total of 4,603 negative priced hours in the power market in the first six month of this year, up by 205% in the year according to ICIS.

  • In Jan-Jun this year, 14% of all hours have seen at least one negative price across all bidding zones, while 3% of all hourly prices have been negative.
  • The frequency of negative priced hours has not significantly increased in 1Q 2024, while the frequency sharply rose in April-June.
  • Negative prices this year were driven by a sharp increase in solar PV output, high nuclear output in France, high hydropower output and low demand.
  • Finland saw the most negative priced hours in the first half of this year with 264 hours. This has been due to a large capacity in must-run, nuclear and hydro, while high snowmelt and rainfall dented the flexibility capacity of reservoirs. In addition, subsidies including GO prices incentives renewable generation despite negative prices.

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