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Net Dollar Specs Tick Lower Despite USD Appreciation

FOREX
  • Net long specs on the US Dollar ticked lower in the week ended April 5 despite the USD spike, decreasing by 33.8K to a total of 102.7K contracts.
    • Speculative positions against the Yen have reached their highest level since November 2011 (+103.8K) as investors have become increasingly bearish on JPY amid monetary policy divergence.
  • The global risk off environment triggered by the renewed geopolitical tensions has been supporting ‘safe-haven’ assets such as the US Dollar and Gold.
  • The DXY index broke above the 99.7390 level last week (76.4% Fibo retracement of the 89.21 – 102.98 range) and found a local high at 100.1890 on Friday before consolidating lower.
  • Next ST resistance to watch on the topside stands at 100.5560 (May 14 2020 high).
  • On the downside, first support to watch stands at 99.40, followed by 99.
  • Key support remains at 97.7270, (61.8% Fibo), which was rejected several times last month.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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