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New Home Sales Fall More Than Expected, Relative Supply Building

US DATA
  • New home sales fell by more than expected in August, down -8.7% M/M (cons -2.2) but with some of the impact offset by a stronger than first thought 8.0% in July (initial 4.4%).
  • Sales still came in softer on net though, at an annualized 675k vs consensus of 698k.
  • Sales by region ranged from +6.7% to -17% M/M, but didn’t see anywhere near the same level of volatility as in July.
  • Despite the latest decline, new home sales continue to paint a markedly more resilient picture to that of existing home sales which are more than 25% below pre-pandemic levels – see first chart.
  • Relative supply loosened, with months of supply rising to 7.8 from a downward revised 7.0 (initial 7.3), continuing to come in above the levels seen at this time of year in pre-pandemic periods.
  • The new home market continues to see higher levels of relatively supply than in the existing market.

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