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FRANCE: New PM Could Be Announced This Evening

FRANCE
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President Emmanuel Macron could announce the identity of a new prime minister as soon as the evening of 12 December. The formulation of the next gov't looks increasingly to be a broad coalition involving the parties of Macron's centrist Ensemble alliance, the centre-left Socialist Party (PS), environmentalist Ecologists, and potentially the left-wing French Communist Party (PCF) and conservative Les Republicains (LR). Such an administration would have a much more left-leaning outlook than the now-collapsed minority gov't of PM Michel Barnier. 

  • The composition of the alliance and identity of the PM appears to remain in flux. Ecologist leader Marine Tondelier said on Thursday morning "The fact that [Macron] persists in wanting to put a prime minister from his camp [into power] leads France into a political, social, economic, environmental deadlock." Tondelier said centrist MoDem leader Francois Bayrou and former PM Bernard Cazeneuve from the PS would not be acceptable candidates for her party.
  • An 11 Dec opinion poll from Elabe for BFMTV showed 41% of respondents in favour of an apolitical/technocrat PM, compared to 23% supporting a candidate of the NFP, 17% the far-right Rassemblement National, 12% the conservative LR, and just 6% Macron's Ensemble alliance.
  • The timing of any announcement could come quite late in the day, with Macron flying in and out of Warsaw today for bilaterals with Polish PM Donald Tusk and President Andrzej Duda.
  • The new PM will face a tough task in passing a budget, with internal divisions between members of the unwieldy coalition likely to hinder efforts to pass the legislation. 
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President Emmanuel Macron could announce the identity of a new prime minister as soon as the evening of 12 December. The formulation of the next gov't looks increasingly to be a broad coalition involving the parties of Macron's centrist Ensemble alliance, the centre-left Socialist Party (PS), environmentalist Ecologists, and potentially the left-wing French Communist Party (PCF) and conservative Les Republicains (LR). Such an administration would have a much more left-leaning outlook than the now-collapsed minority gov't of PM Michel Barnier. 

  • The composition of the alliance and identity of the PM appears to remain in flux. Ecologist leader Marine Tondelier said on Thursday morning "The fact that [Macron] persists in wanting to put a prime minister from his camp [into power] leads France into a political, social, economic, environmental deadlock." Tondelier said centrist MoDem leader Francois Bayrou and former PM Bernard Cazeneuve from the PS would not be acceptable candidates for her party.
  • An 11 Dec opinion poll from Elabe for BFMTV showed 41% of respondents in favour of an apolitical/technocrat PM, compared to 23% supporting a candidate of the NFP, 17% the far-right Rassemblement National, 12% the conservative LR, and just 6% Macron's Ensemble alliance.
  • The timing of any announcement could come quite late in the day, with Macron flying in and out of Warsaw today for bilaterals with Polish PM Donald Tusk and President Andrzej Duda.
  • The new PM will face a tough task in passing a budget, with internal divisions between members of the unwieldy coalition likely to hinder efforts to pass the legislation.