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SWEDEN
The revised policy path has showed a modest shift up compared to the June MPR.
- In the June report, the Riksbank presented an alternative scenario where the SEK was weaker than expected, and provided forecasts on the expected policy rate and inflation conditional on this.-
- The current level of the KIK (Riksbank effective exchange rate index) is 131.9. The main scenario in the June report forecasted a KIK of 130.07, while the alternative forecasted 133.12.
- It is perhaps surprising that the policy path was not revised further upwards given the SEK's movements over summer, but the Riksbank have likely been put at ease somewhat by the August inflation print and the ECB's "dovish" hike last week.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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