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New Post-1990 Lows For 2s10s Post Civic Holiday

CANADA
  • GoCs have opened after the Civic Holiday with a significant bull flattening, with the bull part from today’s focus on US-China-Taiwan risk and the flattening part catch-up from yesterday’s Tsy rally that had continued through the material sliding in ISM prices paid even if the overall index saw a small beat.
  • With 2YY -1.8bps and 10YY -10.2bps, 2s10s falls -8.4bps to -43.5bps, through the brief low seen in the height of volatility at the onset of the pandemic and extending to new lows since 1990 – and with a similar story closer along with the yield curve with 2s5s -4.5bps at -39bps.
  • Latest weekly consumer confidence doesn’t have an impact, almost unchanged at 46.2 having stabilised in recent months but outside of the depths of the pandemic is at the lowest since early 2009.

Canada government bond yields and 2s5s and 2s10s spreads (mid price vs ask in text for latter)Source: Bloomberg

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