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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: ECB Expected To Cut Rates Later
MNI EUROPEAN OPEN: A$ & Local Yields Surge Following Jobs Data
New Post-Payrolls Lows, 10Y Auction To Headline Thin Docket
- Treasuries have recently set fresh post-payrolls lows in a continued pushback on prior recessionary fears seen in the aftermath of a dovish report but one that had some notable caveats.
- Cash yields are 3.7-5.1bp higher on the day, led by 2s.
- 2Y yields have met some resistance between 4.02-4.03% (a latest high of 4.030%) as they remain below the ~4.12% seen pre-payrolls.
- 10Y yields of 3.93% meanwhile are back at pre-payrolls levels courtesy of real yields now sitting ~6bp higher.
- TYU4 has seen a session low of 113-01+ having also essentially closed the post-payrolls gap via 115-03+. It’s the latest step closer to support 112-21 (Aug 2 low). Volumes of 460k are still elevated but less so than overnight sessions for the prior two days.
- Headlines and sentiment should drive today’s session until the 10Y auction. It comes after yesterday’s relatively well-received 3Y and is followed by the 30Y tomorrow.
- Data: Weekly MBA mortgage data (1200ET)
- Fedspeak: Collins to Rhode Island (1200ET – no remarks expected)
- Note/bond issuance: US Tsy $42B 10Y Note auction - 91282CLF6 (1300ET)
- Bill issuance: US Tsy $60B 17W bill auction (1130ET)
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.