Free Trial

No Surprises In US Core PCE Inflation

DATA REACT
  • Core PCE inflation was exactly as expected in Oct, up +0.43% M/M (survey median 0.4%, mean 0.43%) as it picked up from +0.2% in Sep. There were some small upside revisions to past months but they were lost in the rounding and the annual rate increased to +4.1% Y/Y as expected.
  • CPI data from two weeks ago had shown broad-based inflationary pressures.
  • Real spending meanwhile was stronger than expected in Oct, +0.8% M/M as it accelerated from a softer Sep.
  • This was supported by a further dip in the household savings ratio, back at pre-pandemic levels of 7.3%.
  • Small 1-1.5bp rally in Tsys on the release, DXY dipped very slightly on announcement but has since retraced.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.