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Nomura say this is a "time of unique..........>

GILTS
GILTS: Nomura say this is a "time of unique political uncertainty in the UK" due
to a combination of short term (recent scandals), medium-term (government's weak
majority) and long-term (Brexit) factors, and recommend possible trades to hedge
against the political tail risks.
- Nomura do not recommend hedging with duration trades or cross market trades,
but see a better way of trading tail risk with a 5s/30s curve steepener which
has a "positive carry" and roll of around 18bp over a year.
- However, Nomura say that an asset swap trade (selling the cash vs receiving
swap in the 10-yr area) "makes the most sense" in hedging specific tail risk
more accurately. Nomura add that this trade should benefit from "either
non-resident selling of Gilts because of political concerns and/or fears of
increased issuance under a Labour-led government".  

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