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Nordic Q3 Power Rises

POWER

Nordic front-quarter power base load is trading higher today with support from a dry outlook and nuclear extensions. German front curve futures are trading slightly lower on the day, limiting the upside of the Nordic curve.

    • Nordic Base Power Q3 up 1.7% at 35.5 EUR/MWh
  • TTF is bouncing between €33.9 and €35.9/MWh with demand supported by warm weather set against the easing of LNG supply risks with the potential restart of Australia Wheatstone LNG soon.
  • The latest ECMWF forecast suggested temperatures will remain above the seasonal normal throughout the 6-9 day forecast period. Forecasts suggested an upward revision in precipitation for 22 June after which forecasts suggested a dry outlook – below the seasonal normal.
  • Finland’s Olkiluoto 3 nuclear reactor is scheduled to return on 5 July in an unplanned outage. The power supply to the plant is limited due to the capacity of Fingrid’s system protection, remit data showed.
  • In Norway, wind output forecasts have been revised lower. Wind output is forecast at 499MW to 1.39GW during base load on 22-30 June according to SpotRenewables.
  • Norway’s NVE said it expects the country’s power balance surplus to halve by 2028.

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