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Norwegian Hydro Stocks Further Widen Surplus To Average

ELECTRICITY

Norwegian hydropower reserves increased by 1.1 percentage points on the week to 78.7% of capacity as of 22 August, widening the surplus to the five-year average to the highest level so far this year, NVE data showed.

  • Stocks widened the surplus to the five-year average to 5.06 percentage points, up from 4.73 percentage points a week earlier.
  • Hydro reserves in the NO1 region reached 102% of capacity in calendar week 32 but edged down to 99.8% last week.
  • Overall hydropower output rose last week amid slightly lower gas-fired generation and wind output. Generation from pumped storage rose by 53MW to 110MW. Hydro run-of-river averaged 3.76GW last week, up by 104MW on the week. Output from reservoirs rose by 3.66GW to 12.09GW, Entso-E data showed.
  • Forecasts for onshore wind output during base-load hours in Norway range between around 390MW to 1.13GW, with load factors ranging 7-31% this weekend. Low wind power output for the first half of the week could spur demand for hydropower generation.
  • Forecasts for high precipitation this week could support some inflows into reserves.

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